2013 KDI Journal of Economic Policy Conference: Fiscal Sustainability and Innovative Welfare System - KDI 한국개발연구원 - 연구 - 보고서
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기타보고서 2013 KDI Journal of Economic Policy Conference: Fiscal Sustainability and Innovative Welfare System 2013.12.31

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Series No. 2013

기타보고서 2013 KDI Journal of Economic Policy Conference: Fiscal Sustainability and Innovative Welfare System #물가, 이자율 및 통화정책 #재정수지 및 재정정책

2013.12.31

  • KDI
    최경수
  • KDI
    한진희
  • KDI
    김영일
  • KDI
    문외솔
  • KDI
    이동원
  • KDI
    윤택
  • KDI
    이봉수
  • KDI
    Barry Eichengreen
  • KDI
    Kwanho Shin
  • KDI
    Yiyao Wang
  • KDI
    Tae-Hwy Lee
  • KDI
    Eric M. Leeper
  • KDI
    Xuan Zhou
  • KDI
    박동현
  • KDI
    Sunghoon Chung
  • KDI
    Joonhyung Lee
  • KDI
    Thomas Osang
  • KDI
    Lutz Kilian
  • KDI
    Thomas K. Lee
  • KDI
    Gee Hee Hong
  • KDI
    Nicholas Li
  • KDI
    Xiaoquan Jiang
  • KDI
    이상협
  • KDI
    이계우
목차
CHAPTER 1
Inflation’s Role in Optimal Monetary-Fiscal Policy(Eric M. Leeper and Xuan Zhou)
 1. Introduction
 2. Model
 3. Fully Optimal Policy
 4. Optimal Policy Analytics: Flexible Prices
 5. Optimal Policy Analytics: Sticky Prices
 6. Numerical Results
 7. Concluding Remarks
 References
 Appendix

CHAPTER 2
Transmission Mechanisms of the Public Debt(Tack Yun)
 1. Introduction
 2. The Public Debt and the Empirical IS Curve
 3. The Implication of the Empirical IS Curve for the Determinacy of the Equilibrium Dynamics
 4. Business-Cycle Implications of the Empirical IS Curve: Non-Keynesian Effects of Government’s Budget Surplus
 5. Market Friction of Government Securities and Sovereign-Risk Based Channel
 6. Time-Varying Risk Preferences and Convenience-Yield Based Channel
 7. Market-Segmentation Based Channel
 8. Expectations Based Channel
 9. Conclusion
 References
 Appendix105

CHAPTER 3
Growth Slowdowns Redux(Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park, and Kwanho Shin)
 1. Introduction
 2. Data and Methods
 3. Slowdowns
 4. Correlates
 5. Determinants
 6. Conclusion and Additional Thoughts
 References
 Appendix

CHAPTER 4
Pension Reform, Fiscal Impact, and Savings(Sang-Hyop Lee)
 1. Introduction
 2. The Model
 3. Impact on Labor Income and Fiscal Sustainability
 4. Simulation Results
 5. Conclusion
 References

CHAPTER 5
Demographic Changes, Economic Growth, and Fiscal Rules in a General Equilibrium Model of Overlapping Generations(Dongwon Lee and Weh-sol Moon)
 1. Introduction
 2. Model
 3. Quantitative Analysis
 4. Concluding Remarks
 References

CHAPTER 6
Trade Liberalization, Growth, and Bi-polarization in Korean Manufacturing: Evidence from Microdata(Chin Hee Hahn)
 1. Introduction
 2. Exporting, Productivity and Bi-polarization
 3. Trade Liberalization and Wage Skill Premium
 4. Concluding Remarks
 References

CHAPTER 7
Did China Tire Safeguard Save U.S. Workers?(Sunghoon Chung, Joonhyung Lee, and Thomas Osang)
 1. Introduction
 2. Overview of China Safeguard and the U.S. Tire Industry
 3. Data and Descriptive Statistics
 4. Empirical Method and Results
 5. Potential Mechanism
 6. Concluding Remarks
 References

CHAPTER 8
Korea’s Income Inequality: The Trend and Major Issues(Kyungsoo Choi)
 1. Summary and Major Findings
 2. Income Inequality Trend
 3. Contribution to Inequality by Income Sources
 4. Functional Distribution of Income
 References

CHAPTER 9
Development Effectiveness of the Paris Declaration: An Empirical Evaluation(Kye Woo Lee)
 1. Introduction
 2. Literature Review
 3. Empirical Evaluation Method and Data
 4. Empirical Test Findings
 5. Conclusion and Recommendations
 References
 Appendix

CHAPTER 10
Quantifying the Speculative Component in the Real Price of Oil: The Role of Global Oil Inventories(Lutz Kilian and Thomas K. Lee)
 1. Introduction
 2. A Review of the Structural Oil Market Model
 3. Alternative Proxies for Global Crude Oil Inventories
 4. Estimation Results
 5. Conclusion
 References

CHAPTER 11
The Welfare Cost of Structural Uncertainty(Young Il Kim )
 1. Introduction
 2. Analytical framework for macroeconomic welfare analysis
 3. Welfare analysis under the CRRA preference
 4. Welfare analysis under the EZW preference
 5. Conclusion
 References
 Appendix

CHAPTER 12
Evaluation of Survey of Professional Forecasters in Greenbook Forecast Error Loss(Tae-Hwy Lee and Yiyao Wang)
 1. Introduction
 2. Data
 3. EKT Method
 4. Asymmetry in Greenbook’s Loss Function
 5. Evaluating SPF in Greenbook Forecast Error Loss
 6. Conclusions
 References
 Appendix

CHAPTER 13
Market Structure and Cost Pass-through in Retail(Gee Hee Hong and Nicholas Li)
 1. Introduction
 2. Model
 3. Data Description
 4. Market Share, Vertical Structure and Pass-through
 5. Macroeconomic implications
 6. Conclusion
 References
 Appendix

CHAPTER 14
The Dynamic Relations between Market Returns and Two Types of Risk with Business Cycles(Xiaoquan Jiang and Bong Soo Lee)
 1. Introduction
 2. Empirical Method
 3. Data Construction and Description
 4. Empirical Dynamic Relations
 5. Concluding Remarks
 References
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