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Working Paper

A Quarterly Macroeconometric Model for the Korean Economy

페이스북
커버이미지
  • 저자 박원암(朴元巖)
  • 발행일 1987/12/01
  • 시리즈 번호 8716
원문보기
요약 This paper describes the basic structure and simulation
results of the newly revised KDI quarterly macroeconometric
model, and it also reviews the policy simulation results and
forecasts made with the model. In particular, this paper draws
attention to the linkage between the real and monetary sectors
which is mainly captured via the money stock in the
consumption function, the credit availability of the firms in the
investment function and the money creation processes. Th
incorporate the typical financial structure in Korea, the balance
sheets of the monetary survey that are the consolidation of the
accounts of the Bank of Korea(BOK) and the accounts of the
Deposit Money Banks(DMB) are scrutinized. Furthermore, the
balance of payments table is under close examination to analyze
the open nature of the Korean economy and the linkage between
the balance of payments and the money supply. In short, it
seems that the model can be linked to the world economy in
order to investigate the impact of foreign shocks on the
domestic economy.

The paper proceeds as follows: The basic structure of the
model is given with the theoretical discussions in Section Ⅱ.
Section Ⅲ contains the explanations for the specifications of
structural equations of the model. Section Ⅳ provides the
estimation and the historical simulation results using the model
presented in Section Ⅱ. Section Ⅴ discusses the external shock
and policy simulation results of the alternative policy measures.

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