Policy Study How Changes in Housing Finance Environment Affect Household Decisions and Market Equilibrium December 31, 2015
Series No. 2015-07
December 31, 2015
- Summary
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This paper analyzes how changes in household debt policies and housing finance environment affect household borrowing decisions, housing prices, and welfare. I examine three types of housing finance environmental changes. First, when the government relaxes the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio regulation, housing price, rent price, and household debt increase simultaneously. An increase in the residence cost leads to a decrease in the economy-wide welfare. However, the proportion of households that support the relaxed LTV regulation is higher than non-supporters. Second, when the mortgage refinance is restricted, housing price, rent price, and household debt decrease. Though a decrease in residential expenses increases household welfare, the proportion of households that support such a change is less than the half of the entire population. Third, when the average household income decreases, housing demand, price, and rent price decrease. Since a decrease in household income reduces life time consumption, the economy-wide welfare decreases.
- Contents
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Preface
Executive Summary
Chapter 1 Introduction
Chapter 2 Literature Review
Chapter 3 Mortgage Loan Model
Section 1 Basic Environment
Section 2 Household Decision-Making
Section 3 Financial Institution Decision-Making
Section 4 Definition of Steady-State Equilibrium
Chapter 4 Calibration and Steady-State Economic Analysis
Section 1 Parameter Settings
Section 2 Steady-State Economic Analysis
Section 3 Household Decision-Making Analysis
Chapter 5 Policy and Economic Environment Changes
Section 1 Loan-to-Value (LTV) Regulation Relaxation
Section 2 Restrictions on Mortgage Refinancing and New Loans
Section 3 Decline in Average Household Income
Chapter 6 Summary and Conclusion
References
Appendix
ABSTRACT
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