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What's Up Monthly
July 21, 2026 | vol. 35
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Declining Cognitive Skills among Korean Workers: Drivers and Improvement Measures
by MinSub Kim (Fellow, KDI)
and Yoonsoo Park (Professor, Sookmyung Women's University)
As Korea's population ages and automation reshapes job tasks, keeping workers' cognitive skills sharp deep into their careers has become an economic necessity. Yet new OECD survey data show that Korean workers' numeracy and literacy scores fall off with age far faster than in other advanced economies. Multiple factors contribute to this decline, but the primary driver appears to be a wage system that provides insufficient incentives for skills development.
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A Steep Age-Related Decline Rooted in a Wage System That Ignores Skill
Korean workers' cognitive skills fall behind the OECD average by their early 40s, and the gap widens sharply after the mid-50s. The underlying driver is compensation: a one-standard-deviation increase in numeracy raises wages by just 2.98% in Korea, less than half the 6.13% OECD average, and more recent data show Korea's return remains similarly low (2.46% versus an 8.16% OECD average). Korean wages instead climb steeply with tenure (2.05% a year, nearly triple the OECD average) and with firm size, up to 30% higher at firms with 1,000 or more employees than at the smallest firms. With 63% of establishments lacking any formal wage system, and fewer than one in ten using skill- or job-based pay, workers have little financial reason to keep learning once hired.
Pay Systems Must Reward Skill, Not Just Seniority
The study calls for broader adoption of skill- and job-based pay systems, beginning with clearer job roles and transparent performance evaluation, to give workers a financial incentive to invest in upskilling. This alone will not be enough. Without more flexible working hours, higher-quality training programs tied to career and wage progression, and workplace cultures that let employees actually apply new skills on the job, meaningful improvement in workforce competencies is unlikely. Without such reforms, Korea risks entering a period of rapid technological transformation with a workforce whose skills are deteriorating faster than in comparable advanced economies.
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See the findings explained in 4 minutes [click]
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KDI Monthly Economic Trends (July 2026)
Semiconductor and Services Strength Offset by Manufacturing Softness
Korea's economy maintained a modest recovery in July, as robust semiconductor exports and services activity offset a softening in manufacturing. Services production rose sharply, led by finance, insurance, and professional services, while consumption rose modestly and equipment investment expanded rapidly on semiconductor machinery demand. Manufacturing output edged down as semiconductor growth moderated and petroleum refining weakened, though the auto decline reflected a temporary parts-supplier fire, not broader weakness.
Exports kept growing rapidly on strong AI-related semiconductor demand, lifting the trade balance to a large surplus, and external uncertainty eased as U.S.-Iran tensions cooled. Inflation stayed near 3.2% on high oil prices, and stock volatility surged past 2008 financial-crisis levels.
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2025/2026 The DPRK Economic Outlook
This volume of 2025/2026 DPRK Economic Outlook presents a comprehensive assessment of North Korea's economy across trade, exchange rates and prices, industry, and food and agriculture. It examines how the economy closed out its Five-Year Plan under a dual trajectory of formal-sector growth and market instability, and outlines the key variables likely to shape the North Korean economy in 2026.
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AI and the Future of Work Policy Forum
KDI and the Ministry of Finance and Economy jointly held a policy forum on July 9 titled "The Future of Work: A New Labor Market in Coexistence with AI." The forum examined how the rapid spread of AI is reshaping the labor market, with particular attention to youth employment and workforce development. Presentations and panel discussion built shared momentum around the policy responses needed for a labor market increasingly shaped by AI.
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K-POP as a Global Cultural Industry
From June 22 to 24, the Global Knowledge Exchange and Development Center ran a training program, bringing together twenty-one participants from government, media, and education sectors worldwide. Through lectures and site visits, participants explored K-pop's global business strategies, cultural policy, and fandom-driven IP models. The program closed with participants drafting action plans to apply these lessons to their own countries' cultural industries.
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KDI GKEDC-ADB Joint Outreach Seminar
The Global Knowledge Exchange and Development Center hosted an outreach seminar with the Asian Development Bank on July 9 to support Korean companies' overseas business expansion. The seminar introduced the Climate and Sustainability Project Preparatory Fund for Central Asia and explored pathways for Korean firms to participate in ADB-financed projects. Around 100 participants took part across transport, energy, and agriculture sessions, laying the groundwork for future collaboration.
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