Policy Study Study on Location Choice of Young People December 31, 2021

Series No. 2021-09
December 31, 2021
- Summary
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The concentration of population toward the Seoul Capital Area (SCA) continues with the ongoing (net) flow of youth into the SCA. While many policies at the local level are introduced to reduce the (net) outflow of young people, those policies’ effectiveness is often questionable. It is crucial for policymakers to understand the key determinants of the location choice of young people and base the choice of a policy mix on the information.
The first chapter, the introduction of the entire study, discusses the necessity of an integrated view for supporting both local areas and young people. The second chapter delves into the interregional migration of youth, focusing on college education and job search. Using plausibly exogenous shocks at each stage, the author finds that the change in migration at college education is mostly temporary at the affected margin. Conversely, a local recession at the time of college graduation significantly increases the “return movement” of youth toward their previous hometown, particularly for those who grew up in the SCA. The third chapter, a joint work of Joseph Han (KDI) and Chamna Yoon (KAIST), estimates a structural model of two-stage location choice from micro-level data. Policy experiments show that subsidizing “local employment” of “local talents” yields the most cost-effective outcomes at both stages among the policy options considered. The supports for local colleges and universities are ineffective for local settlement, although those supports are still valid for other policy goals such as quality education and research. The last chapter concludes with policy implications.
- Contents
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Preface
Executive Summary
Chapter 1: Introduction: Localities and Youth
Chapter 2: Inter-regional Mobility and Connectivity in the Stages of Advancement and Employment
Section 1: Inter-regional Mobility of the Youth
Section 2: Inter-regional Mobility of the Youth: Trends and Status
Section 3: Inter-regional Mobility in the Stages of Advancement and Employment
Section 4: Empirical Analysis on Inter-regional Mobility at the Time of Advancement and Employment (1): Population Size Variation of High School Graduates
Section 5: Empirical Analysis on Inter-regional Mobility at the Time of Advancement and Employment (2): Local Labor Market Conditions at the Time of Graduation
Section 6: Conclusion
Chapter 3: Choice of Region by the Youth: Structural Model Approach
Section 1: Introduction
Section 2: Model
Section 3: Data
Section 4: Estimation of the Model
Section 5: Estimation Results
Section 6: Policy Experiment
Section 7: Conclusion
Chapter 4: Conclusion and Policy Implications
References
ABSTRACT
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